Ep. 164 Brian Alford: Your Multifamily Market Outlook for the I-4 Corridor

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Florida’s I-4 corridor has long been a hot-spot for investors. As a main commercial artery connecting the state’s east and west coasts, the area has served as fertile ground for investors of several asset classes. Now, thanks to explosive job and population growth in several metro areas, the I-4 corridor’s multifamily market has been booming.

I-4 Corridor Multifamily Market Outlook

  • The I-4 corridor’s major metro areas are experiencing intense growth
    • Tampa & Orlando
      • Lakeland, Lake Mary/Sanford (Sub-markets)
    • $1.24-$1.26/sf across all asset classes (30% increase in pre-recession rates)
  • Rental demand outpacing construction and inventory
    • Vacancies compressing
    • Markets primed for B + C-class rental drivers
  • Institutional investor activity increasing

5-Year Forecast

  • Expect to stop start seeing decrease in new home starts
  • Rental demand not likely to drop-off
  • Metro area growth metrics should slow, but due to sustained market demand will maintain an equilibrium state

About Our Guest

multifamily marketThis episode, we are honored to have Brian Alford join us to discuss this multifamily market outlook for the I-4 corridor. As a Market Economist for CoStar, Brian specializes in providing on-the-ground analysis for the Central Florida region, including the I-4 corridor’s major metro areas and sub-markets.

Brian brings with him nearly 15 years of experience as a financial analyst having worked with commercial real estate through a variety of asset classes.

If you are interested in getting a more detailed outlook on the I-4 corridor’s multifamily market, or you have additional questions regarding the Central Florida region, fell free to reach out to Brian directly. Additionally, you can find much of Brian’s published content online or by visiting costar.com.

 

 

Ep. 128 David Farmer: Get a Lead on the Next Hot Real Estate Market!

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Think you know the next hot real estate market?

Then you know a good real estate investment depends on more than just the property. It could have all the right physical features, but if it’s in an under-performing market, then the property will never produce a strong ROI. There are socioeconomic factors that affect an investment’s value. These factors can include: population growth, market supply, and municipal planning.

You can track these factors before making an investment decision using forecast models. You can track pertinent market data as it relates to an investment value. Real estate investors and developers use forecast models to determine what markets to focus on. They can also be used to track up-and-coming markets, so you can get a lead on the next hot real estate market!

get a lead on the next hot real estate marketThere’s few more qualified to talk about forecast modeling than David Farmer. A recognized civil engineer, and city planner, Dave has been in the real estate industry for more than 20 years. He has extensive development experience and is the former Chairman of SW Florida District Council for the Urban Land Institute.

He now lends his extensive real estate expertise to Metro Forecast Modeling (MFM), a population forecasting and modeling firm in Lee County. As CEO of MFM, Dave brings his understanding of growth drivers to forecast analysis.

Find out how you can use forecast models to get a lead on the next hot real estate market!

  • Population growth dictates housing demand which determines what development is needed
  • 2 types of forecast models:
    • Aggregated -  wide-scale analysis of an entire metro area
    • Dis-aggregated - Analyses based on designated zones within a metro area. Lee County is divided into 1400 traffic analysis zones.

Florida Market Forecasts

  • Lehigh Acres:
    • 1-2% vacancy rates, high housing demand
    • Need for commercial development
    • Poor planning makes aggregate development projects difficult
  • Downtown Sarasota:
    • Can accommodate higher density than currently using
    • Multifamily and commercial developments replacing existing small structures
  • Jacksonville:
    • Pent-up housing demand
    • 3000 additional units needed now
    • 1600 more needed by 2020
  • Orlando (City):
    • High housing demand
    • 8000 units needed over next 3 years

Contacts

  • You can contact Dave directly at dave@metroforecasting.com
  • You can find out more about MFM’s services by emailing info@metroforecasting.com

 

 

Ep. 126 Mark Holmes: What Multifamily Investors Need to Know About the Rental Boom

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multifamily investorsThe national housing market is undergoing a major shift and multifamily investors are taking notice. Through economic and generational factors, the housing market is seeing a lessening demand for single family home purchases. Instead of buying a home, young professionals are opting to rent.

Mark Holmes may know this growing trend better than anyone. As a certified property appraiser with Value Tech Realty, Mark travels the United States appraising multifamily properties. As an appraiser, he understands this rental boom from a valuation perspective. As an active single family investor and passive multifamily investor, he understands what it means from an investor’s standpoint.

This episode, Mark gives us a recap of the the national multifamily market as well as the Florida multifamily market. We discuss the recent rental boom and what it means for multifamily investors.

National Multifamily Overview

  • 63% home ownership, down from 69% (2004)
  • 37% renters: 15 million shift
  • Financial recession brought on behavioral shift
  • Job growth jump-started multifamily development

Florida Multifamily Overview

  • Landlord friendly
  • 3% job growth
  • Statewide rent growth: 4%
  • I-4 Corridor rent growth: 6%

Florida Multifamily Markets

  • Tampa
    • 4000 MF units online, last 12 mo.
    • 65% absorption rate
    • 3.7% rent growth
    • Class A: 4.5% cap rates; Class B: 6%
  • Orlando
    • 5,500 MF units online, last 12 mo.
    • 57% absorption
    • 4.8% rent growth
  • Melbourne
    • 8% rent growth in last 12 mo.
  • Miami/SFL
    • 3,500 units online last 12 mo., 3,300 coming
    • Nearly 100% absorption
    • 3.3% rent growth
    • 4.45% cap rates
    • 49% of income goes to rent

What It Means for Multifamily Investors

  • Capital looking to invest in multifamily is out there
  • Class A property growth concessions trickling down to B + Cs
  • Most buyer interest is in multifamily
  • Interest rate increases mean cap rate increases
  • Major market cap rates seeing downward trend

Contact Mark

Looking for property appraisals? Contact Value Tech Realty through their website. For single family and multifamily investors looking to work with Mark on a deal, contact him through email at mark1holmes1@gmail.com.

Ep. 111 Todd Hutcheson: Getting Into Real Estate with Limited Cash

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getting into real estate with limited cashWould-be investors always want to know ways of getting into real estate with limited cash. Regular people interested in real estate investing may be put off by the idea that real estate investing relies on huge cash reserves or access to capital. They may wonder how they are able to become an investor on a limited budget.

Enter Todd Hutcheson

A native Floridian, Todd has been an active investor in Florida real estate since 2001. His firm, ibuyhomes.com, is a nationally ranked wholesaling platform connecting buyers and sellers close on deals all over central Florida. Todd lends his wealth of experience to several investor resources, like real estate investors associations (REIAs). He is a current board member and president-elect of the Central Florida REIA.

He is helping people discover that getting into real estate with limited cash is doable through strategic marketing, networking and continuing education.

Getting Into Real Estate with Limited Cash

Wholesaling Done Different

  • Marketing-based strategy
  • Find motivated seller, put houses under contract, assign contract to investor
  • Get paid on assignment
  • Close in 8-10 from signed contract
  • 100% cash-buyers

Investor Advantage

  • Wholesaling helps investors find unlisted properties
  • Some investors don’t have marketing prowess and need help finding deals

Minimizing Risks with Wholesaling

  • Reliable tool of cash-buyers to lessen risks
  • Investors with proven track record of deals more likely to close

Marketing & Finding Deals

  • 60% of leads through ibuyhomes.com
  • 30% of leads from new investors
  • 10% of leads from selective direct-mailings

Central Florida Recap

  • Hot market
  • Lower-middle class neighborhoods seeing high price indexes
    • Pine Hills & Deltona
    • $120-130k for SFRs, $850-1050 for rents
  • Buy-and-hold investors may see tightening, wholesalers not affected as much
  • Out-of-state and foreign investors wanting to buy
  • I-4 corridor is key barometer for state markets

Other FL Markets

  • Cape Coral
  • Gainesville – strong multifamily development rise

Resources and Tips

Contact

Want to know more about getting into real estate with limited cash? Email Todd: todd@ibuyhomes.com

Visit www.ibuyhomes.com or call (407) 617-4289 for any other questions

Central Florida investors, visit CFRI‘s website for events and news.

 

Ep. 82 Mark Nathwani: Just Do It! Real Estate Investing

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AAEAAQAAAAAAAAAmAAAAJGU2ZDRjNTU3LTY0N2YtNDRlMC1iMjFmLTI3ZTZkZDJiMzc4OQNobody said real estate investing was an easy business. Aside from the hard numbers and financial side, commercial and residential real estate investing requires dedication and perseverance from investors and a certain ability to thrive under pressure. For many, these pressures prove too great of obstacles to find success as real estate investors. Invest Florida Show aims to provide its listeners of all investment levels with the tools and resources necessary to make actionable investment decisions. In addition to providing educational resources to our listeners, we also want to inspire would-be investors to make the first big step and invest!

This episode our guest is all about inspiration. Mark Nathwani is a real estate investing specialist and international entrepreneur. Mark has assisted in the growth and development of many businesses and currently serves as CEO of RAMS Real Estate Holdings, a U.S./U.K. based firm focusing on foreclosure properties and other sensible Florida real estate markets. Above all else, Mark believes the first step is the biggest one: want to get into real estate investing? Just do it!

Mark’s Tips for Beginning Investors:

  • Single-Family Residential
    • SFR properties are relatively stable, secure markets for those looking to begin real estate investing
    • Florida has many strong SFR markets:
      • Tampa, St. Petersburg, Jacksonville, Orlando
  • Investment Strategies
    • Tailor strategy to investment type:
      • Fix-and-flip, wholesales, holds
    • Invest based on yield as opposed to price and valuation
      • Yield is generally higher in complicated markets i.e. low-income housing
    • Choose a market and apply strategies that suit that market, don’t cherry-pick strategies from other real estate markets
    • Cast a wide net to find deals
      • Brokers, letters, bandit signs, banks, etc.
    • Never lose confidence in your deal!

To contact Mark with any potential investment opportunities or to find out more about his real estate investing services, visit his website!

Ep. 75 Garrett Kenny: Irish Builder Talks Foreign Investment in Florida & Hot Orlando Real Estate Sub-Markets

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Gary_editedIn a recent episode, we spoke with an investor who managed a Florida real estate portfolio from outside the country. This week’s episode features an investor who runs a foreign investment firm out of his home-base in Davenport, Florida.

Garrett Kenny started building his investment portfolio in Florida after being introduced to Orlando’s vacation markets in 1996. Since then, he has built his investment firm, Feltrim, into an international name for foreign investment in Florida real estate, handling all aspects of the investment process. This episode, Garrett discusses foreign investment in Florida and hot real estate sub-markets in Orlando.

Foreign Investing in Florida

  • Most foreign investors can expect to average 6% annual ROI
  • Easy to find financing options, but many do cash deals
    • Usually require more up-front from investor for financing
    • 4-4.5% interest rates
    • Some foreign investors use local banks and mortgage brokers
    • Some financing may be available through institutions in home countries
  • Brazil and China emerging as dominant foreign investors in Florida markets
  • Foreign investors expanding portfolios in Florida real estate

Orlando

  • 62 million visitors to Orlando area in 2014
  • Diverse investment opportunity
    • Vacation rentals, commercial and industrial markets
    • Top 3 vacation rental areas – Championsgate, Davenport, and Kissimmee
    • Medical + Technology – Lake Nona
    • Long-term investing in 30 mi. radius of Disney
  • Other hot sub-markets
    • Distressed and repossessed homes
    • “Class A” properties – Windermere, Winter Park

Tips on Foreign Investment

  • Having a local knowledge of your desired market is key
    • Find out about the area before investing
  • Location, Location, Location
    • Finding the right location for your investment is important

To find out more about Garrett and Feltrim’s services or about investing in Orlando real estate, visit the firm’s website

Garrett recently published a book, Buying and Owning Property in Central Florida available on Author House and Amazon

 

Ep. 57 Albert Berriz – McKinley Bullish on I-4 Corridor for Multi-Family

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00f4451Florida real estate investors should be familiar with the name McKinley. With over 55 million square feet of commercial and residential real estate in 34 states, McKinley, Inc. is 37th largest real estate investment and management firm in the nation.

Albert Berriz, CEO, Co-owner & Co-Managing Member of McKinley talks with us this week about the firm’s special interest in Florida. The Interstate 4 Corridor, connecting Tampa, Lakeland, Orlando and Daytona Beach is favorite of McKinley for it’s unique position as a major economic engine for Florida. The firm owns and manages 55 multi-family communities along the I-4 corridor. Albert discusses the firm’s attraction to the corridor as a region of of immense population growth.

  • I-4 Corridor
    • Tampa/St. Petersburg, Lakeland, Orlando, Daytona Beach
    • 3/5 of Florida Residents centralized around I-4
    • 6.5 million residents (6th largest population concentration by geographic area in U.S.)
  • Economic Growth
    • 1.3 times over growth rate of South Florida
    • Panama Canal to introduce Port of Tampa to new markets
    • All Aboard Florida rail project to provide high-speed transit between Orlando and South Florida
      • Tourism/Entertainment
        • Theme Parks in Orlando and Tampa
        • Coastal attractions

For any investor seeking to improve their success in the real estate market, Albert believes that a mentor is an invaluable resource for investors. The expertise and understanding of a seasoned investor can provide knowledge and guidance to make actionable investment decisions.

Albert cites Colin Powell as a distinct influence on his development as a leader. Despite his focus in military and politics as opposed to business, Gen. Powell established himself as a true leader in his field and exhibits the qualities of leadership that can be applied to any individual.

Check out Colin Powell’s literature on leadership on Amazon

To find out more about Mckinley’s properties in Florida visit their website

 

 

Ep. 52 – Real Estate Development is a Big Part of All Aboard Florida Rail Project

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john_guitar_final_3-24-2015For those who haven’t heard, All Aboard Florida is a high-speed rail project connecting Miami and Orlando via Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach. The project is slated for public use in 2017.

The project will have a major impact on transit in South Florida and Central Florida. The rail project will also have a profound effect on real estate development in the state. John Guitar, Senior V.P. of Business Development discusses All Aboard Florida’s interests in stations and transit-oriented real estate development.

  • 4 million sq. ft. rail transit
    • Miami
    • Orlando
    • Ft. Lauderdale
    • West Palm Beach
  • Utilizing privately owned space in F.E.C. “Flagler Corridor”
  • High-speed Transit
    • 79-110 mph
    • 125 mph (with no grade crossings)
  • Miami
    1. Retail
      1. 200k sq. ft. real estate development for Downtown Miami Station
      2. Servicing local and commuter traffic
    2. Office
      1. 2 Developments planned: 200k sq. ft. & 100k sq. ft.
      2. Accessible locations for commuters
  • Ft. Lauderdale / West Palm Beach
    • Several retail and residential plans in works for future development

To contact John with questions regarding All Aboard Florida’s real estate development and leasing opportunities or to find out more about the project visit the project website www.allaboardflorida.com

www.miamicentral.com

All Aboard Florida – Economic Story

Update***

Now referred to as Brightline

https://gobrightline.com/

 

EP12 – Orlando Real Estate Market: It Is More Than Mickey Mouse

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Tim Becker, Director of the Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies at the University of Florida talks Orlando in the 2nd of 4 part series, covering the major real estate markets in the State of Florida.  In anticipation of the Bergstrom Center’s Trends and Strategies conference February 26-27 in Orlando.

Check out this episode!