Ep. 128 David Farmer: Get a Lead on the Next Hot Real Estate Market!

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Think you know the next hot real estate market?

Then you know a good real estate investment depends on more than just the property. It could have all the right physical features, but if it’s in an under-performing market, then the property will never produce a strong ROI. There are socioeconomic factors that affect an investment’s value. These factors can include: population growth, market supply, and municipal planning.

You can track these factors before making an investment decision using forecast models. You can track pertinent market data as it relates to an investment value. Real estate investors and developers use forecast models to determine what markets to focus on. They can also be used to track up-and-coming markets, so you can get a lead on the next hot real estate market!

get a lead on the next hot real estate marketThere’s few more qualified to talk about forecast modeling than David Farmer. A recognized civil engineer, and city planner, Dave has been in the real estate industry for more than 20 years. He has extensive development experience and is the former Chairman of SW Florida District Council for the Urban Land Institute.

He now lends his extensive real estate expertise to Metro Forecast Modeling (MFM), a population forecasting and modeling firm in Lee County. As CEO of MFM, Dave brings his understanding of growth drivers to forecast analysis.

Find out how you can use forecast models to get a lead on the next hot real estate market!

  • Population growth dictates housing demand which determines what development is needed
  • 2 types of forecast models:
    • Aggregated -  wide-scale analysis of an entire metro area
    • Dis-aggregated - Analyses based on designated zones within a metro area. Lee County is divided into 1400 traffic analysis zones.

Florida Market Forecasts

  • Lehigh Acres:
    • 1-2% vacancy rates, high housing demand
    • Need for commercial development
    • Poor planning makes aggregate development projects difficult
  • Downtown Sarasota:
    • Can accommodate higher density than currently using
    • Multifamily and commercial developments replacing existing small structures
  • Jacksonville:
    • Pent-up housing demand
    • 3000 additional units needed now
    • 1600 more needed by 2020
  • Orlando (City):
    • High housing demand
    • 8000 units needed over next 3 years

Contacts

  • You can contact Dave directly at dave@metroforecasting.com
  • You can find out more about MFM’s services by emailing info@metroforecasting.com

 

 

Ep. 120 Pete Kuc: Investing for Cashflow and Jacksonville Market Recap

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investing for cashflowThere are many strategies investors can apply in real estate investing. Some offer big risks and bigger returns, some offer a stable, long term earnings. While it may not be the flashiest investment strategy, investing for cashflow can provide long term stability and act as a cushion in the event of any unforeseen market downturns.

Pete Kuc, Co-Founder of May Real Estate Group, got a crash course in the big risks of speculative investing and learned the power of passive income and investing for cashflow the hard way.

Following the 2008 market crash, Pete was forced to reassess his approach to real estate, but what he has since learned about investing for cashflow has paid off. He has grown this strategy into a thriving turn-key investment company serving northeast Florida.

This episode, Pete talks about cashflow investing and gives us a recap of the Jacksonville and northeast Florida markets.

Investing for Cashflow

  • Buy-and-hold strategy
  • Fix-up, rent property, build equity
  • Not based on speculative appreciation

NE Florida Markets

  • Jacksonville, St. Augustine, Palm Coast
  • Jacksonville: strong natural growth, prices lower than other Florida markets, good rental returns; Orange Park neighborhood

Finding Deals

  • Direct homeowner marketing
    • Mailers
  • Finding off-market deals
  • Wholesalers
  • National Community Stabilizing Trust
    • Fed Program offering off-market deals at discount
    • For non-profits, but community investors may be vetted for program
  • Real Estate Investor Associations (REIAs)

Investor Advice

  • Consistence and persistence is key to success
  • Keep letting people know you are a player in the game

Contact

To find out about the turn-key investment services offered by the May Group, visit www.kigjax.com. To find out more about investing for cashflow or to learn more about what is happening in the Jacksonville real estate market, message Pete directly on Facebook.

 

Ep. 114 Kurt Westfield: Apartment Investor Tough Lessons Lead to New Strategy

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multifamily investing and finding a strategy as an apartment investorAs real estate investors, sometimes what we think is a good investment strategy does not turn out quite as expected. While a single family investor may be able to stick to a strategy and adopt minimal changes, this is not usually the case for the apartment investor.

Your investment strategy should suit the deal you are making. It may become necessary to change your strategy in order to make a deal work.

While this may mean an extra headache in the short-term, a change in strategy could mean the difference between a successful investment and a failure.

Just ask Apartment Investor Kurt Westfiled

Kurt Westfield is the founder of WC Companies, an umbrella brand for his multi-service real estate investment firms.Listeners will remember Kurt’s last episode with us when he discussed his transition from single family investor to apartment investor.

This episode, we catch up with Kurt following his transition to apartment investor. He discusses how he found out early on in his career the importance of finding a winning strategy.

Apartment Investor: Finding a New Strategy

The Deal

  • 14 unit apartment building
  • In foreclosure
  • Expedited due diligence (7 days)
  • Intended to be 12 month, light fix-and-flip with capital expenses at $80-100k

The Issues

  • Tenants trashed complex
  • Property had suffered from neglect

Changing Strategy

  • Evicted all current tenants
  • Rehabbed entire property, inside and out
  • Structured leasing as condo-apartment type w/ one model unit completed while construction was ongoing
  • Created brand identity
  • Started community engagement activities

The Results

  • 3 1/2 year project, cap expenses at $400k
  • Property raised market rent 60% in area
  • Identified potential of revitalizing fringe market properties
  • Focused on developing branded communities rather than street addresses

Kurt is still an active apartment investor, looking for multifamily deals in Tampa and Jacksonville up to 50 units. To contact Kurt with a potential deal, email him at kurt@wccompanies.com.

For any other questions or to find out more about services offered by WC Companies, visit their website.

Ep. 113 Elysia Stobbe: Diversifying Risk with Geography and Asset Class

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investor mortgages, diversifying riskNo Risk, No Reward

No matter the size or experience of the investor, this is a widely-held belief. However, it is not simply about risk, but rather smart risks.

Diversifying risk is a key strategy for real estate investors looking to expand their bottom line.

Increasing the Bottom Line

We are pleased to welcome back to the show, Elysia Stobbe, NMLS# 146751. Listeners will remember Elysia from Episode 108, in which she discussed updates to SFR investor mortgages.

In addition to being a branch manager with NFM Lending, Elysia is a successful investor with over 30 property deals under her belt, doing deals in and around Jacksonville, FL. She is also a published author. Her best selling book, How to Get Approved for the Best Mortgage Without Sticking a Fork in Your Eye helps single family investors in obtaining secure, prime mortgages.

This episode of Landlord Tales, Elysia discusses her transition to multifamily investing and diversifying risk with geography and asset class. Through expanding focus into the multifamily asset class and remaining open-mined about market areas, Elysia learned that diversifying risk is a great way to increase returns.

Diversifying Risk

  • Multifamily offers greater cashflow potential than single family while minimizing tenant turnover risk
  • Multifamily cap rates typically 2-4% higher than single family
  • Remain open-minded about potential market areas
  • Distressed properties can be made rentable

Finding Deals

  • Networking with wholesalers is great way to find distressed multifamily properties
    • Craigslist; Bandit signs – WeBuyUglyHouses, iBuyHomes
  • Realtors
  • Property Managers
  • Real Estate Investment Associations (REIAs)

Resources & Links

To catch up on past shows, visit our archives page!

 

 

Ep. 112 Courtney Barnard: Legislative Update for Multifamily-Residential Property Owners

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multifamily-residential property legislative updateWe’ve been hearing a lot about Florida’s single family property markets, but what about multifamily-residential property?

Though multifamily-residential may not share the same spotlight that single family is getting, apartment investing makes up a big economic portion of Florida’s real estate market and there are some big legislative changes coming to multifamily residential property that investors need to be aware of.

We are glad to have Courtney Barnard back on the show. Courtney serves as the Government Affairs Director for the Florida Apartment Association (FAA). Courtney appeared previously, in episode 42, where she discussed then-current legislative updates to multifamily-residential property.

This time, she discusses some key changes coming with the 2016 legislative updates. This episode, Courtney also gives us a Florida multifamily market overview in addition to sharing important legislative updates for multifamily-residential property owners.

Florida Multifamily-Residential Property Overview

  • Jacksonville – largest apartment growth (new construction)
  • Sarasota/Bradenton – decline in growth
  • Over 96% occupancy statewide
  • New construction focused on Class A and Class Super A – $145k/unit costs
  • Lack of affordable multifamily developments

Legislative Updates

  • HVAC Maintenance
    • House Bill 535, July 2016
    • Apartment investors with 100 unit or more buildings
    • HVAC repairs can now be made by on-site building maintenance and not HVAC contractor
    • Bill Info
  • Non-Residential Property Tax Exemptions
    • 10% cap on non-residential property tax increases set to expire in 2018
    • No cap could hurt a lot of investors and small-business owners
    • Joint resolution to be put forth to reinstate cap permanently
  • Fire Sprinklers in Building
    • Florida administration code-change from National Fire Protection Standard
    • Takes effect Dec. 31st, 2016
    • High-rises over 75 feet required to have sprinklers in residences and common areas
    • Previously, buildings built before 1994 were exempt
    • Condos + Co-ops can vote to opt out, but apartment investors must comply UNLESS: balconies/secondary entrances are attached to every unit

Florida Apartment Association

The FAA has been in place for 45 years. With 11 regional chapters and over 5,000 apartment communities, the FAA offers members access to great benefits:

To find out more resources offered by the FAA and for other updates from Courtney, visit www.faahq.org.

EP16 – Is Jacksonville a City for Millennials? (Real Estate Market Overview)

Aside

Is Jacksonville a City for Millennials? – Real Estate Market Overview

jacksonville-cruise-portTim Becker, Director of the Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies at the University of Florida talks Jacksonville in the 4th part of our 4 part series, covering the major real estate markets in the State of Florida.  This series is in anticipation of the Bergstrom Center’s Trends and Strategies conference from February 26th-27th in Orlando.

 

Becker reveals that Jacksonville has really taken off in the last couple of years, enough so that Jacksonville is catching up to other major markets in Florida such as Miami, Tampa, and Orlando.

Important Points Discussed:

Quote of the episode

“Everyone is chasing the Millennials.” –Tim Becker

Also do not forget to register for Center’s Trends and Strategies Conference February 26-27 in Orlando, Fl. By following the link and simply registering!

Contact Info

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Stutzin Hall
PO Box 117168
Gainesville, FL  32611-7169